Pontevedra 1-3 Zamora CF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
26%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.48
Over 2.5
47%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.4
No
56%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
22%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-5.4pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.2pp
26%
Away Win
19%
+6.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
64%
-10.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
36%
+10.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
38%
+6.8pp
56%
BTTS No
62%
-6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pontevedra EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Zamora CF EU Bookmakers 22%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
2.44/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/1.88
+57% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -31%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
443 · 88% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 4.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pontevedra
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Zamora CF
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
15.10.2023 Zamora CF Zamora CF 0-4 HT 0-2 Pontevedra Pontevedra İS4
06.02.2021 Pontevedra Pontevedra 0-1 HT 0-1 Zamora CF Zamora CF İS3
08.11.2020 Zamora CF Zamora CF 0-0 HT 0-0 Pontevedra Pontevedra İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pontevedra
1-3
AWAY Zamora CF
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Pontevedra vs Zamora CF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zamora CF saw off Pontevedra 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Pontevedra at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Pontevedra had 60% of the ball to Zamora CF's 40%, shots finished 15-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Pontevedra and 0.33 for Zamora CF.

What was the final score of Pontevedra vs Zamora CF?

Pontevedra 1-3 Zamora CF in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pontevedra vs Zamora CF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pontevedra win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Pontevedra 48%, draw 26%, Zamora CF 26%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Pontevedra) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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