Brusaporto 4-1 Palazzolo 1913 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie D, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
4.71
Draw
35%
3.8
Away
36%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
51%
Over
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2-3
33%
4-5
27%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
19%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 51%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
29%
Home Win
18%
+11.6pp
35%
Draw
23%
+12.3pp
36%
Away Win
60%
-23.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brusaporto The Market 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Palazzolo 1913 The Market 64%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/0.53
-19% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +134%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
304 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 427 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Brusaporto vs Palazzolo 1913
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brusaporto ran out comfortable winners over Palazzolo 1913 4-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 29% / 35% / 36% — and on the day Brusaporto made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

What was the final score of Brusaporto vs Palazzolo 1913?

Brusaporto 4-1 Palazzolo 1913 in the Italy - Serie D on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brusaporto vs Palazzolo 1913?

Before kick-off our model rated an Palazzolo 1913 win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Brusaporto 29%, draw 35%, Palazzolo 1913 36%. The final score 4-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Palazzolo 1913) ✗ Under 2.5
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