Castrovillari Calcio 1-1 Locri 1909 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie D, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.18
Draw
39%
3.35
Away
31%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
64%
Over
36%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
No
55%
Total Goals
0-1
37%
2-3
41%
4-5
16%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
5%
X/2
10%
X/X
23%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 64%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
30%
Home Win
42%
-11.8pp
39%
Draw
27%
+12.4pp
31%
Away Win
31%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Castrovillari Calcio The Market 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Locri 1909 The Market 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +20%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
279 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Castrovillari Calcio
1-1
AWAY Locri 1909
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Castrovillari Calcio vs Locri 1909
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Castrovillari Calcio and Locri 1909 couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (30% / 39% / 31%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (64%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Castrovillari Calcio had 60% of the ball to Locri 1909's 40%, shots finished 19-12.

What was the final score of Castrovillari Calcio vs Locri 1909?

Castrovillari Calcio 1-1 Locri 1909 in the Italy - Serie D on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Castrovillari Calcio vs Locri 1909?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Castrovillari Calcio 30%, draw 39%, Locri 1909 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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