25/02/2024
·
16:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-0
2nd Score
0-1
Figline vs Sansepolcro Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
62%
Over
38%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
No
61%
Total Goals
0-1
44%
2-3
36%
4-5
12%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
16%
X/X
24%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 62% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
34%
Home Win
41%
34%
Draw
30%
32%
Away Win
29%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Figline v Sansepolcro — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Figline
The Market 46%
Head to Head
AWAY
Sansepolcro
The Market 32%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-5% /
-5%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-100%
/
–
50%
Ball Possession
50%
11
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Target
3
4
Corners
6
347 · 79%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
334 · 78%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Figline vs Sansepolcro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Figline got the better of Sansepolcro 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 34% / 32% — and on the day Figline made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.
What was the final score of Figline vs Sansepolcro?
Figline 2-0 Sansepolcro in the Italy - Serie D on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Figline vs Sansepolcro?
Before kick-off our model rated a Figline win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Figline 34%, draw 34%, Sansepolcro 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
◐ Match Result — model had it level (34/34/32)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced?
Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself?
Open Match Studio →
İTD
More Italy - Serie D
25 Feb 2024