25/02/2024
·
16:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
1-0
US Bitonto vs FC Matera Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
57%
Over
43%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
No
54%
Total Goals
0-1
23%
2-3
52%
4-5
17%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 57% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
POST-MATCH
US Bitonto vs FC Matera
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
US Bitonto and FC Matera shared the points in a 1-1 draw.
Our pre-match lean was FC Matera at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.
What was the final score of US Bitonto vs FC Matera?
US Bitonto 1-1 FC Matera in the Italy - Serie D on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for US Bitonto vs FC Matera?
Before kick-off our model rated an FC Matera win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split US Bitonto 32%, draw 26%, FC Matera 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (FC Matera), BTTS No went the other way.
✗ Match Result (FC Matera)
✓ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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İTD
More Italy - Serie D
25 Feb 2024