25/02/2024
·
16:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
1-0
PDHAE vs FC Vado Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
60%
Over
40%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
No
55%
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2-3
40%
4-5
22%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
14%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 60% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH
Home Win
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
40%
Home Win
72%
28%
Draw
17%
32%
Away Win
11%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PDHAE v FC Vado — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
PDHAE
The Market 77%
Head to Head
AWAY
FC Vado
The Market 14%
-27% /
-27%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+2% /
+2%
0.99/1.01
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.00/0.51
-21%
/
+6%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-100%
/
+150%
54%
Ball Possession
46%
12
Total Shots
9
5
Shots on Target
3
6
Corners
5
433 · 84%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
191 · 69%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
PDHAE vs FC Vado
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
FC Vado squeezed past PDHAE 1-0 away from home.
We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 32% — and on the day FC Vado made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.
What was the final score of PDHAE vs FC Vado?
PDHAE 0-1 FC Vado in the Italy - Serie D on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for PDHAE vs FC Vado?
Before kick-off our model rated a PDHAE win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split PDHAE 40%, draw 28%, FC Vado 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (PDHAE) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (PDHAE)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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İTD
More Italy - Serie D
25 Feb 2024