25/02/2024
·
16:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
0-0
Termoli Calcio vs Bikkembergs Fossombrone Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
60%
Over
40%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Total Goals
0-1
34%
2-3
43%
4-5
16%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
6%
1/X
12%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
18%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 60% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
27%
Home Win
26%
38%
Draw
25%
35%
Away Win
49%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Termoli Calcio v Bikkembergs Fossombrone — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Termoli Calcio
The Market 30%
Head to Head
AWAY
Bikkembergs Fossombrone
The Market 53%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
51%
Ball Possession
49%
13
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
5
298 · 76%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
351 · 77%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Termoli Calcio vs Bikkembergs Fossombrone
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Termoli Calcio ran out comfortable winners over Bikkembergs Fossombrone 3-0.
Our pre-match split (27% / 38% / 35%) promised a tight game; Termoli Calcio found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Termoli Calcio vs Bikkembergs Fossombrone?
Termoli Calcio 3-0 Bikkembergs Fossombrone in the Italy - Serie D on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Termoli Calcio vs Bikkembergs Fossombrone?
Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Termoli Calcio 27%, draw 38%, Bikkembergs Fossombrone 35%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5 went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Draw)
✗ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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25 Feb 2024