Chieti 0-1 Avezzano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie D, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.25
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
36%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
Over
44%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
No
55%
Total Goals
0-1
36%
2-3
40%
4-5
19%
6+
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
17%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
36%
Home Win
41%
-4.3pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.9pp
36%
Away Win
32%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chieti The Market 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Avezzano The Market 36%
+40% / +40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -46% / -46%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.52/2.04
-15% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -49% / -42%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
272 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chieti
0-1
AWAY Avezzano
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Chieti vs Avezzano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avezzano edged past Chieti 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 36%) promised a tight game; Avezzano found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Chieti had 53% of the ball to Avezzano's 47%, shots finished 11-10.

What was the final score of Chieti vs Avezzano?

Chieti 0-1 Avezzano in the Italy - Serie D on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chieti vs Avezzano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chieti win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Chieti 36%, draw 28%, Avezzano 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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