Mobilieri Ponsacco 0-0 San Donato Tavarnelle — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie D, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
28%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
65%
Over
35%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
No
63%
Total Goals
0-1
40%
2-3
35%
4-5
17%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 65%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
50%
Home Win
53%
-3.0pp
22%
Draw
27%
-5.0pp
28%
Away Win
20%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mobilieri Ponsacco The Market 57%
Head to Head
AWAY San Donato Tavarnelle The Market 23%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -42% / -42%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -51% / -41%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 7
376 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Mobilieri Ponsacco vs San Donato Tavarnelle
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mobilieri Ponsacco and San Donato Tavarnelle played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Mobilieri Ponsacco at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (63%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Mobilieri Ponsacco vs San Donato Tavarnelle?

Mobilieri Ponsacco 0-0 San Donato Tavarnelle in the Italy - Serie D on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mobilieri Ponsacco vs San Donato Tavarnelle?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mobilieri Ponsacco win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Mobilieri Ponsacco 50%, draw 22%, San Donato Tavarnelle 28%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Mobilieri Ponsacco) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mobilieri Ponsacco) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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