25/02/2024
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
2-0
Sanremese vs Asti Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
54%
Over
46%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
No
57%
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2-3
39%
4-5
21%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
24%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Sanremese win — 58% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH
Home Win
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
58%
Home Win
63%
22%
Draw
23%
20%
Away Win
14%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sanremese v Asti — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Sanremese
The Market 67%
Head to Head
AWAY
Asti
The Market 17%
-30% /
-30%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
-15%
/
+94%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
59%
Ball Possession
41%
15
Total Shots
8
6
Shots on Target
2
6
Corners
4
463 · 83%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
257 · 70%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Sanremese vs Asti
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Sanremese edged past Asti 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Sanremese as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.
What was the final score of Sanremese vs Asti?
Sanremese 1-0 Asti in the Italy - Serie D on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sanremese vs Asti?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sanremese win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Sanremese 58%, draw 22%, Asti 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sanremese), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Sanremese)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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İTD
More Italy - Serie D
25 Feb 2024