25/02/2024
·
16:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-2
2nd Score
2-1
Chateauroux II vs Montlouis Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
43%
Over Pick
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
No
47%
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
39%
4-5
26%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
18%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 57% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
30%
Home Win
43%
24%
Draw
25%
46%
Away Win
32%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Chateauroux II v Montlouis — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Chateauroux II
The Market 47%
Head to Head
AWAY
Montlouis
The Market 36%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+8% /
+8%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-100%
/
–
53%
Ball Possession
47%
14
Total Shots
13
5
Shots on Target
4
7
Corners
4
323 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
252 · 72%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Chateauroux II vs Montlouis Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Chateauroux II
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
Montlouis
2.00
Avg Goals (FT)
0.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Chateauroux II vs Montlouis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Montlouis edged past Chateauroux II 2-1 away from home.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Montlouis as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.
What was the final score of Chateauroux II vs Montlouis?
Chateauroux II 1-2 Montlouis in the France - National League 3 on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Chateauroux II vs Montlouis?
Before kick-off our model rated an Montlouis win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Chateauroux II 30%, draw 24%, Montlouis 46%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Montlouis), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Montlouis)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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FRUL3
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25 Feb 2024