Saint-Estève Perpignan 1-1 Bordeaux II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 3, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.53
Draw
33%
3.64
Away
24%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
59%
Over
41%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
No
53%
Total Goals
0-1
36%
2-3
38%
4-5
20%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
43%
Home Win
61%
-18.1pp
33%
Draw
24%
+8.8pp
24%
Away Win
14%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Saint-Estève Perpignan The Market 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Bordeaux II The Market 17%
-84% / -84% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-37% / -67% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
346 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Saint-Estève Perpignan vs Bordeaux II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Saint-Estève Perpignan and Bordeaux II shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Saint-Estève Perpignan at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Saint-Estève Perpignan vs Bordeaux II?

Saint-Estève Perpignan 1-1 Bordeaux II in the France - National League 3 on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Saint-Estève Perpignan vs Bordeaux II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Saint-Estève Perpignan win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Saint-Estève Perpignan 43%, draw 33%, Bordeaux II 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Saint-Estève Perpignan), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Saint-Estève Perpignan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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