25/02/2024
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-1
Les Sables vs FC Challans Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
58%
Over
42%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
No
53%
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2-3
39%
4-5
17%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
13%
X/X
19%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 58% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
38%
Home Win
39%
29%
Draw
31%
33%
Away Win
30%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Les Sables v FC Challans — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Les Sables
The Market 43%
Head to Head
AWAY
FC Challans
The Market 33%
-55% /
-55%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+57% /
+57%
1.00/4.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
2.00/1.00
-26%
/
-66%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+37%
/
+30%
57%
Ball Possession
43%
13
Total Shots
9
4
Shots on Target
3
7
Corners
2
398 · 81%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
275 · 69%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Les Sables vs FC Challans
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
FC Challans squeezed past Les Sables 1-0 away from home.
Our pre-match split (38% / 29% / 33%) promised a tight game; FC Challans found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Les Sables vs FC Challans?
Les Sables 0-1 FC Challans in the France - National League 3 on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Les Sables vs FC Challans?
Before kick-off our model rated a Les Sables win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Les Sables 38%, draw 29%, FC Challans 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Les Sables) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Les Sables)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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FRUL3
More France - National League 3
25 Feb 2024