Hereford FC 2-1 Buxton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 25 Feb 2025

📅25/02/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
36%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.78
Over 2.5
47%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.85
2-3 Goals
44%
1.72
4-5 Goals
20%
3.67
6+ Goals
10%
15.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
44%
-6.9pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.1pp
36%
Away Win
29%
+6.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.0pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hereford FC EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Buxton EU Bookmakers 32%
+1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -1%
1.43/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.19
-5% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +17%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
301 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hereford FC
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Buxton
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
12.10.2024 Buxton Buxton 1-2 HT 1-1 Hereford FC Hereford FC İCON
01.04.2024 Hereford FC Hereford FC 2-2 HT 0-1 Buxton Buxton İCON
21.11.2023 Buxton Buxton 2-1 HT 1-0 Hereford FC Hereford FC İCON
21.01.2023 Buxton Buxton 0-1 HT 0-0 Hereford FC Hereford FC İCON
20.08.2022 Hereford FC Hereford FC 2-0 HT 0-0 Buxton Buxton İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hereford FC
2-1
AWAY Buxton
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Hereford FC vs Buxton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hereford FC nicked a narrow win over Buxton 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 27% / 36% — and on the day Hereford FC made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Hereford FC had 54% of the ball to Buxton's 46%, shots finished 8-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Hereford FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Hereford FC and 1.00 for Buxton.

What was the final score of Hereford FC vs Buxton?

Hereford FC 2-1 Buxton in the England - Conference on 25/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hereford FC vs Buxton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hereford FC win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Hereford FC 37%, draw 27%, Buxton 36%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hereford FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hereford FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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