Mısır 1-0 Sierra Leone — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 25 Mar 2025

📅25/03/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.18
Draw
20%
5.28
Away
18%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.95
Over 2.5
52%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
3.08
No
57%
1.32
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.26
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.27
6+ Goals
10%
12.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
79%
-17.7pp
20%
Draw
15%
+5.2pp
18%
Away Win
5%
+12.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
28%
+14.2pp
57%
BTTS No
72%
-14.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mısır EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Sierra Leone EU Bookmakers 8%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
4.97/0.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.98/2.00
+90% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +16%
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
409 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 229 · 71%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
9.0 Crosses
0.9 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mısır
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Sierra Leone
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 9
7 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
19.11.2023 Sierra Leone Sierra Leone 0-2 HT 0-1 Mısır Mısır DKE
05.09.2010 Mısır Mısır 1-1 HT 0-0 Sierra Leone Sierra Leone AFUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mısır
1-0
AWAY Sierra Leone
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 4
1 Passes 0
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mısır vs Sierra Leone
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mısır squeezed past Sierra Leone 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Mısır as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Mısır had 61% of the ball to Sierra Leone's 39%, shots finished 15-4.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Mısır had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Mısır and 0.50 for Sierra Leone.

What was the final score of Mısır vs Sierra Leone?

Mısır 1-0 Sierra Leone in the World Cup Qualifiers on 25/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mısır vs Sierra Leone?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mısır win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Mısır 62%, draw 20%, Sierra Leone 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mısır), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mısır) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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