Güney Kore 1-1 Ürdün — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 25 Mar 2025

📅25/03/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.49
Draw
28%
3.8
Away
26%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.8
Over 2.5
42%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.06
No
59%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
38%
2.93
2-3 Goals
35%
1.73
4-5 Goals
19%
3.57
6+ Goals
8%
15.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.93 — our 38% vs market 26.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
63%
-17.1pp
28%
Draw
23%
+5.1pp
26%
Away Win
15%
+11.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+6.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-6.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.5pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Güney Kore EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Ürdün EU Bookmakers 18%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
1.93/0.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/0.73
+16% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +150%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
376 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 75%
27.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.6
19.5 Crosses 7.3
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Güney Kore
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Ürdün
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.30 xG 0.83
68% Ball Possession 32%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
589 Passes 196
87% Pass Accuracy 70%
25 Box Touches 14
19 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.10.2024 Ürdün Ürdün 0-2 HT 0-1 Güney Kore Güney Kore DKE
06.02.2024 Ürdün Ürdün 2-0 HT 0-0 Güney Kore Güney Kore ASK
20.01.2024 Ürdün Ürdün 2-2 HT 2-1 Güney Kore Güney Kore ASK
14.11.2014 Ürdün Ürdün 0-1 HT 0-1 Güney Kore Güney Kore HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Güney Kore
1-1
AWAY Ürdün
1.76 xG 0.30
75% Ball Possession 25%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 3
534 Passes 132
86% Pass Accuracy 64%
28 Box Touches 15
25 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Güney Kore vs Ürdün
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Güney Kore and Ürdün shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Güney Kore at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, Güney Kore had 75% of the ball to Ürdün's 25%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 1.76 to 0.30.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Güney Kore had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Güney Kore and 1.00 for Ürdün.

What was the final score of Güney Kore vs Ürdün?

Güney Kore 1-1 Ürdün in the World Cup Qualifiers on 25/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Güney Kore vs Ürdün?

Before kick-off our model rated a Güney Kore win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Güney Kore 46%, draw 28%, Ürdün 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Güney Kore), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Güney Kore) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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