Endonezya 1-0 Bahreyn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 25 Mar 2025

📅25/03/2025 · 🕒16:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.96
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
33%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.67
Over 2.5
38%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
1.95
No
63%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
37%
2.57
2-3 Goals
39%
1.71
4-5 Goals
17%
4.08
6+ Goals
7%
20.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.57 — our 37% vs market 31.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
47%
-10.0pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.7pp
33%
Away Win
26%
+7.3pp
62%
Under 2.5
56%
+5.7pp
38%
Over 2.5
44%
-5.7pp
37%
BTTS Yes
47%
-10.7pp
63%
BTTS No
53%
+10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Endonezya EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Bahreyn EU Bookmakers 29%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.17/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/0.83
-13% / +97% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +51%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
279 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Endonezya
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Bahreyn
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 4.33
0.64 xG 1.30
44% Ball Possession 56%
5 Total Shots 24
5 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 7
231 Passes 309
72% Pass Accuracy 78%
7 Box Touches 22
6 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 2
10.10.2024 Bahreyn Bahreyn 2-2 HT 1-1 Endonezya Endonezya DKE
29.02.2012 Bahreyn Bahreyn 10-0 HT 4-0 Endonezya Endonezya DKE
10.07.2007 Endonezya Endonezya 2-1 HT 1-1 Bahreyn Bahreyn ASK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Endonezya
1-0
AWAY Bahreyn
1.19 xG 0.25
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 3
260 Passes 374
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
11 Box Touches 14
13 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Endonezya vs Bahreyn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Endonezya edged past Bahreyn 1-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 29% / 33%) promised a tight game; Endonezya found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (63%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Endonezya had 42% of the ball to Bahreyn's 58%, shots finished 7-7, expected goals 1.19 to 0.25.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Endonezya and 4.33 for Bahreyn.

What was the final score of Endonezya vs Bahreyn?

Endonezya 1-0 Bahreyn in the World Cup Qualifiers on 25/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Endonezya vs Bahreyn?

Before kick-off our model rated a Endonezya win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Endonezya 37%, draw 29%, Bahreyn 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Endonezya), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Endonezya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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