Çin 0-2 Avustralya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 25 Mar 2025

📅25/03/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.71
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
49%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.75
Over 2.5
41%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.03
No
58%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.8
2-3 Goals
40%
1.72
4-5 Goals
17%
3.73
6+ Goals
9%
16.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.8 — our 34% vs market 28.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
20%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
18%
+7.3pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.3pp
49%
Away Win
58%
-8.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
53%
+5.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
47%
-5.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
45%
-3.0pp
58%
BTTS No
55%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Çin EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Avustralya EU Bookmakers 62%
+37% / +37% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.10/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/0.95
+13% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -43%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
275 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 401 · 81%
6.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.5
8.8 Crosses 23.7
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Çin
0W-1D-4L
AWAY Avustralya
0.40 Avg Goals (FT) 2.20
0.57 xG 1.58
34% Ball Possession 66%
8 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 6
231 Passes 525
74% Pass Accuracy 87%
10 Box Touches 25
10 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 1
10.10.2024 Avustralya Avustralya 3-1 HT 1-1 Çin Çin DKE
16.11.2021 Çin Çin 1-1 HT 0-1 Avustralya Avustralya DKE
02.09.2021 Avustralya Avustralya 3-0 HT 2-0 Çin Çin DKE
22.01.2015 Çin Çin 0-2 HT 0-0 Avustralya Avustralya ASK
24.03.2007 Çin Çin 0-2 HT 0-2 Avustralya Avustralya HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Çin
0-2
AWAY Avustralya
0.67 xG 1.25
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
391 Passes 405
87% Pass Accuracy 85%
21 Box Touches 17
22 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Çin vs Avustralya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avustralya got the better of Çin 2-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Avustralya as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Çin had 49% of the ball to Avustralya's 51%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 0.67 to 1.25.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Avustralya led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for Çin and 2.20 for Avustralya.

What was the final score of Çin vs Avustralya?

Çin 0-2 Avustralya in the World Cup Qualifiers on 25/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Çin vs Avustralya?

Before kick-off our model rated an Avustralya win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Çin 26%, draw 25%, Avustralya 49%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Avustralya), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Avustralya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
DKE More World Cup Qualifiers
25 Mar 2025
00:00 Etiyopya vs Cibuti Analysis →
00:00 Tunus vs Malavi Analysis →
00:00 Tunus vs Lesotho Analysis →
13:35 Japonya vs Suudi Arabistan Analysis →
14:00 Güney Kore vs Ürdün Analysis →
16:45 Kırgızistan vs Katar Analysis →