Etiyopya 6-1 Cibuti — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 25 Mar 2025

📅25/03/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.45
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
19%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.64
Over 2.5
44%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.44
No
53%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.48
2-3 Goals
44%
1.71
4-5 Goals
21%
4.23
6+ Goals
8%
22.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
65%
-9.0pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.7pp
19%
Away Win
12%
+6.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
57%
-0.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
43%
+0.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
37%
+10.1pp
53%
BTTS No
63%
-10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Etiyopya EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Cibuti EU Bookmakers 15%
+27% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.43/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/4.19
-15% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -48%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
347 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Etiyopya
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Cibuti
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
68% Ball Possession 32%
8 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 3
09.06.2024 Cibuti Cibuti 1-1 HT 1-1 Etiyopya Etiyopya DKE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Etiyopya
6-1
AWAY Cibuti
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 9
3 Passes 0
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Etiyopya vs Cibuti
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Etiyopya ran out comfortable winners over Cibuti 6-1. Half-time: 3-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Etiyopya as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 6-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Etiyopya had 61% of the ball to Cibuti's 39%, shots finished 17-12.

What was the final score of Etiyopya vs Cibuti?

Etiyopya 6-1 Cibuti in the World Cup Qualifiers on 25/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Etiyopya vs Cibuti?

Before kick-off our model rated a Etiyopya win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Etiyopya 56%, draw 25%, Cibuti 19%. The final score 6-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Etiyopya) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Etiyopya) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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