25/03/2025
·
00:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-0
Tunus vs Malavi Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.64
— our 39% vs market 30.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
💡 For the risk lovers:
Home Win
★★★
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
71%
25%
Draw
20%
19%
Away Win
9%
66%
Under 2.5
55%
34%
Over 2.5
45%
30%
BTTS Yes
33%
70%
BTTS No
67%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tunus v Malavi — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Tunus
EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY
Malavi
EU Bookmakers 12%
+7% /
+8%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-22% /
-22%
2.50/0.15
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.22/1.46
+6%
/
+150%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-62%
/
+52%
60%
Ball Possession
40%
13
Total Shots
9
4
Shots on Target
3
6
Corners
2
415 · 83%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
238 · 72%
30.0
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
27.0
Crosses
–
3.4
Yellow Cards
–
Tunus vs Malavi Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Tunus
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
Malavi
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
0.00
66%
Ball Possession
34%
13
Total Shots
8
2
Corners
2
The Meetings
21.11.2023
Malavi
0-1
HT 0-0
Tunus
DKE
0-1
HT 0-0
Tunus
DKE
Tunus 2-0 Malavi — Actual Match Statistics
RESULT
Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME
Tunus
2-0
AWAY
Malavi
2
Total Shots
1
2
Shots on Target
1
0
Corners
0
0
Passes
0
POST-MATCH
Tunus vs Malavi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Tunus saw off Malavi 2-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Tunus as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (70%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, shots finished 2-1.
What was the final score of Tunus vs Malavi?
Tunus 2-0 Malavi in the World Cup Qualifiers on 25/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tunus vs Malavi?
Before kick-off our model rated a Tunus win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Tunus 56%, draw 25%, Malavi 19%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tunus), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Tunus)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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DKE
More World Cup Qualifiers
25 Mar 2025