Tunus 2-0 Lesotho — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 25 Mar 2025

📅25/03/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
1.33
Draw
33%
4.34
Away
33%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.71
Over 2.5
50%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.67
No
50%
1.41
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
71%
-37.5pp
33%
Draw
20%
+13.5pp
33%
Away Win
9%
+23.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
55%
-4.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
45%
+4.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
33%
+16.7pp
50%
BTTS No
67%
-16.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tunus EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Lesotho EU Bookmakers 12%
+7% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +31% / +31%
1.02/0.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.13/1.96
+6% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +146% / +150%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
30.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 0.0
27.0 Crosses 4.0
3.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tunus
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Lesotho
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
13 Total Shots 8
2 Corners 2
21.11.2023 Lesotho Lesotho 0-1 HT 0-0 Tunus Tunus DKE
03.09.2011 Lesotho Lesotho 0-0 HT 0-0 Tunus Tunus AFUK
04.09.2010 Tunus Tunus 2-2 HT 2-1 Lesotho Lesotho AFUK
POST-MATCH Tunus vs Lesotho
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tunus saw off Lesotho 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 33% / 33% — and on the day Tunus made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Tunus had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Tunus and 0.67 for Lesotho.

What was the final score of Tunus vs Lesotho?

Tunus 2-0 Lesotho in the World Cup Qualifiers on 25/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tunus vs Lesotho?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tunus win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Tunus 33%, draw 33%, Lesotho 33%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
DKE More World Cup Qualifiers
25 Mar 2025
00:00 Etiyopya vs Cibuti Analysis →
00:00 Tunus vs Malavi Analysis →
13:35 Japonya vs Suudi Arabistan Analysis →
14:00 Güney Kore vs Ürdün Analysis →
14:00 Çin vs Avustralya Analysis →
16:45 Kırgızistan vs Katar Analysis →