İskoçya U21 1-6 İzlanda U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 25 Mar 2025

📅25/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.33
Draw
23%
3.18
Away
38%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.8
Over 2.5
44%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.16
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
3.77
6+ Goals
8%
15.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.16 — our 32% vs market 26.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.53
1/2
8%
30.5
1/X
8%
12.95
X/1
14%
5.38
X/2
17%
5.95
X/X
10%
4.47
2/1
5%
28.0
2/2
13%
4.12
2/X
5%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
39%
+0.7pp
23%
Draw
28%
-5.0pp
38%
Away Win
33%
+4.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.2pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İskoçya U21 EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY İzlanda U21 EU Bookmakers 37%
-48% / -48% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
0.01/2.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.00/4.00
-99% / -59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -65%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
354 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İskoçya U21
0W-1D-4L
AWAY İzlanda U21
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
17.11.2022 İskoçya U21 İskoçya U21 1-2 İzlanda U21 İzlanda U21 Dünya - U21 Hazırlık Maçları Ülkeler
05.10.2016 İzlanda U21 İzlanda U21 2-0 HT 0-0 İskoçya U21 İskoçya U21 U21
13.10.2015 İskoçya U21 İskoçya U21 0-0 HT 0-0 İzlanda U21 İzlanda U21 U21
11.10.2010 İskoçya U21 İskoçya U21 1-2 HT 0-0 İzlanda U21 İzlanda U21 U21
07.10.2010 İzlanda U21 İzlanda U21 2-1 HT 1-1 İskoçya U21 İskoçya U21 U21
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İskoçya U21
1-6
AWAY İzlanda U21
51% Ball Possession 49%
6 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH İskoçya U21 vs İzlanda U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İzlanda U21 swept aside İskoçya U21 6-1 away from home. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (40% / 23% / 38%) promised a tight game; İzlanda U21 found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, İskoçya U21 had 51% of the ball to İzlanda U21's 49%, shots finished 6-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, İzlanda U21 led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for İskoçya U21 and 1.60 for İzlanda U21.

What was the final score of İskoçya U21 vs İzlanda U21?

İskoçya U21 1-6 İzlanda U21 in the Friendlies on 25/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İskoçya U21 vs İzlanda U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a İskoçya U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split İskoçya U21 40%, draw 23%, İzlanda U21 38%. The final score 1-6 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (İskoçya U21) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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