Rusya 5-0 Zambiya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 25 Mar 2025

📅25/03/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.29
Draw
25%
4.95
Away
19%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.07
Over 2.5
52%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.19
No
53%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
12%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Rusya win — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
73%
-17.0pp
25%
Draw
17%
+7.6pp
19%
Away Win
10%
+9.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
42%
+5.2pp
53%
BTTS No
58%
-5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rusya EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Zambiya EU Bookmakers 12%
+2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.86/0.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/1.71
-18% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +26%
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
470 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 75%
36.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.7 Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rusya
5-0
AWAY Zambiya
2.58 xG 0.49
56% Ball Possession 44%
21 Total Shots 3
9 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 2
468 Passes 345
89% Pass Accuracy 82%
29 Box Touches 5
19 Crosses 8
POST-MATCH Rusya vs Zambiya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rusya swept aside Zambiya 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Rusya as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Rusya had 56% of the ball to Zambiya's 44%, shots finished 21-3, expected goals 2.58 to 0.49.

What was the final score of Rusya vs Zambiya?

Rusya 5-0 Zambiya in the Friendlies on 25/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rusya vs Zambiya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rusya win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Rusya 56%, draw 25%, Zambiya 19%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rusya), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rusya) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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