Ukrayna U20 1-0 Norveç U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 25 Mar 2025

Ukrayna U20
1-0
Norveç U20
📅25/03/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Friendlies – 2025

Ukrayna U20 vs Norveç U20 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.05
Draw
35%
3.35
Away
23%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.86
Over 2.5
50%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.73
No
45%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.1
2-3 Goals
35%
1.74
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
27%
3.41
6+ Goals
10%
13.5
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.41 — our 27% vs market 22.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
7%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
BTTS Yes — 55% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
45%
-3.2pp
35%
Draw
26%
+8.6pp
24%
Away Win
29%
-5.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
50%
-0.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
50%
+0.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
54%
+1.0pp
45%
BTTS No
46%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ukrayna U20 v Norveç U20 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ukrayna U20 EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Norveç U20 EU Bookmakers 32%
+36% / +36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-39% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
350 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Ukrayna U20 vs Norveç U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ukrayna U20 nicked a narrow win over Norveç U20 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Ukrayna U20 as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Ukrayna U20 vs Norveç U20?

Ukrayna U20 1-0 Norveç U20 in the Friendlies on 25/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ukrayna U20 vs Norveç U20?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ukrayna U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Ukrayna U20 42%, draw 35%, Norveç U20 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ukrayna U20) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ukrayna U20) ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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