Finlandiya U21 1-0 Slovenya U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 25 Mar 2025

📅25/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
34%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.71
Over 2.5
46%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.65
2-3 Goals
40%
1.71
4-5 Goals
22%
3.93
6+ Goals
11%
18.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS No — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
34%
+3.8pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.2pp
34%
Away Win
39%
-5.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
55%
-0.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
45%
+0.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.9pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Finlandiya U21 EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Slovenya U21 EU Bookmakers 43%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
1.60/0.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.22/2.78
+11% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -85% / -51%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
323 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 421 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Finlandiya U21
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Slovenya U21
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
62% Ball Possession 38%
10 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
20.06.2023 Slovenya U21 Slovenya U21 1-0 Finlandiya U21 Finlandiya U21 Dünya - U21 Hazırlık Maçları Ülkeler
05.06.2012 Slovenya U21 Slovenya U21 1-1 HT 1-1 Finlandiya U21 Finlandiya U21 U21
10.08.2011 Finlandiya U21 Finlandiya U21 1-0 HT 1-0 Slovenya U21 Slovenya U21 U21
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Finlandiya U21
1-0
AWAY Slovenya U21
1.38 xG 0.51
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 5
369 Passes 258
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
11 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Finlandiya U21 vs Slovenya U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Finlandiya U21 edged past Slovenya U21 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 34%) promised a tight game; Finlandiya U21 found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Finlandiya U21 had 57% of the ball to Slovenya U21's 43%, shots finished 10-8, expected goals 1.38 to 0.51.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Finlandiya U21 and 0.67 for Slovenya U21.

What was the final score of Finlandiya U21 vs Slovenya U21?

Finlandiya U21 1-0 Slovenya U21 in the Friendlies on 25/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Finlandiya U21 vs Slovenya U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Finlandiya U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Finlandiya U21 38%, draw 28%, Slovenya U21 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Finlandiya U21), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Finlandiya U21) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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