Bosna-Hersek U21 2-3 Karadağ U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 25 Mar 2025

📅25/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.25
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
28%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.8
Over 2.5
43%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
41%
+2.1pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.6pp
28%
Away Win
32%
-3.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.9pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bosna-Hersek U21 EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Karadağ U21 EU Bookmakers 36%
+41% / +41% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -38% / -38%
1.97/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/4.00
+27% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -62%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
416 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bosna-Hersek U21
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Karadağ U21
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
16.11.2021 Bosna-Hersek U21 Bosna-Hersek U21 2-1 HT 0-1 Karadağ U21 Karadağ U21 U21
29.03.2021 Karadağ U21 Karadağ U21 2-2 HT 0-0 Bosna-Hersek U21 Bosna-Hersek U21 U21
POST-MATCH Bosna-Hersek U21 vs Karadağ U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karadağ U21 squeezed past Bosna-Hersek U21 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Bosna-Hersek U21 at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Bosna-Hersek U21 had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Bosna-Hersek U21 and 1.50 for Karadağ U21.

What was the final score of Bosna-Hersek U21 vs Karadağ U21?

Bosna-Hersek U21 2-3 Karadağ U21 in the Friendlies on 25/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bosna-Hersek U21 vs Karadağ U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bosna-Hersek U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Bosna-Hersek U21 43%, draw 29%, Karadağ U21 28%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Bosna-Hersek U21) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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