Azerbaycan vs Belarus Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Azerbaycan v Belarus — Team-Based Signals
Azerbaycan vs Belarus Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
2-0
HT 0-0
Belarus
AVUL
0-0
HT 0-0
Azerbaycan
AVUL
1-2
HT 0-0
Azerbaycan
HAZ
0-1
HT 0-1
Belarus
HAZ
Azerbaycan 0-2 Belarus — Actual Match Statistics
Belarus saw off Azerbaycan 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Belarus as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Azerbaycan had 47% of the ball to Belarus's 53%, shots finished 11-14, expected goals 0.53 to 1.67.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Azerbaycan had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Azerbaycan and 0.50 for Belarus.
What was the final score of Azerbaycan vs Belarus?
Azerbaycan 0-2 Belarus in the Friendlies on 25/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Azerbaycan vs Belarus?
Before kick-off our model rated an Belarus win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Azerbaycan 33%, draw 25%, Belarus 42%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Belarus), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.