Lüksemburg U21 1-0 Arnavutluk U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 25 Mar 2025

📅25/03/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.08
Draw
20%
3.54
Away
50%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.03
Over 2.5
52%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.58
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
3.05
6+ Goals
13%
10.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
6%
2/1
6%
2/2
25%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS Yes — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
29%
+0.5pp
20%
Draw
25%
-5.0pp
50%
Away Win
46%
+4.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
45%
+2.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
55%
-2.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.4pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lüksemburg U21 EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Arnavutluk U21 EU Bookmakers 49%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
217 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 233 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lüksemburg U21
1-0
AWAY Arnavutluk U21
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 3
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lüksemburg U21 vs Arnavutluk U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lüksemburg U21 nicked a narrow win over Arnavutluk U21 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Arnavutluk U21 at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Lüksemburg U21 had 55% of the ball to Arnavutluk U21's 45%, shots finished 9-3.

What was the final score of Lüksemburg U21 vs Arnavutluk U21?

Lüksemburg U21 1-0 Arnavutluk U21 in the Friendlies on 25/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lüksemburg U21 vs Arnavutluk U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arnavutluk U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Lüksemburg U21 30%, draw 20%, Arnavutluk U21 50%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Arnavutluk U21) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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