Türkiye U21 2-3 Belarus U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 25 Mar 2025

📅25/03/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.32
Draw
26%
4.62
Away
20%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
Over 2.5
44%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
No
58%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
33%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS No — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
71%
-16.7pp
26%
Draw
18%
+7.6pp
20%
Away Win
11%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Türkiye U21 EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Belarus U21 EU Bookmakers 14%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
2.15/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.11/1.96
-5% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -88% / +10%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
388 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Türkiye U21
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Belarus U21
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
06.09.2016 Türkiye U21 Türkiye U21 1-0 HT 1-0 Belarus U21 Belarus U21 U21
09.10.2015 Belarus U21 Belarus U21 0-2 HT 0-1 Türkiye U21 Türkiye U21 U21
14.10.2008 Belarus U21 Belarus U21 2-0 HT 1-0 Türkiye U21 Türkiye U21 U21
10.10.2008 Türkiye U21 Türkiye U21 1-0 HT 1-0 Belarus U21 Belarus U21 U21
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Türkiye U21
2-3
AWAY Belarus U21
62% Ball Possession 38%
21 Total Shots 9
10 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Türkiye U21 vs Belarus U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Belarus U21 edged past Türkiye U21 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Türkiye U21 at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Türkiye U21 had 62% of the ball to Belarus U21's 38%, shots finished 21-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Türkiye U21 had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Türkiye U21 and 0.50 for Belarus U21.

What was the final score of Türkiye U21 vs Belarus U21?

Türkiye U21 2-3 Belarus U21 in the Friendlies on 25/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Türkiye U21 vs Belarus U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Türkiye U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Türkiye U21 54%, draw 26%, Belarus U21 20%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Türkiye U21) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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