SGV Freiberg 1-2 Mainz 05 II — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — Germany - Regional League, 25 Apr 2026

📅25/04/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off. · updated 07:16
Match Result
Home
48%
1.89
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
27%
3.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
2.02
Over
55%
1.72
Both Teams to Score
YesVIEW
57%
1.63
No
43%
2.12
Total Goals
0-1
22%
2-3
47%
4-5
25%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
2%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
3%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
NO PICK no pattern fills on this match today.
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME SGV Freiberg The Market 53%
Signal
AWAY Mainz 05 II The Market 30%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Strong
1.46 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.42
0.84 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.66
Weak Attack Strength Strong
Great Defense Strength Average
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
276 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SGV Freiberg
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Mainz 05 II
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
39% Ball Possession 61%
16 Total Shots 14
9 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
25.10.2025 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II 2-1 HT 0-0 SGV Freiberg SGV Freiberg ALMBÖL
05.04.2025 SGV Freiberg SGV Freiberg 0-1 HT 0-0 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II ALMBÖL
05.10.2024 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II 3-2 HT 2-2 SGV Freiberg SGV Freiberg ALMBÖL
27.04.2024 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II 0-2 HT 0-1 SGV Freiberg SGV Freiberg ALMBÖL
21.10.2023 SGV Freiberg SGV Freiberg 1-2 HT 0-1 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II ALMBÖL
08.04.2023 SGV Freiberg SGV Freiberg 4-0 HT 3-0 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II ALMBÖL
REVIEW SGV Freiberg vs Mainz 05 II
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Mainz 05 II nicked a narrow win over SGV Freiberg 2-1 on the road. Half-time: 0-1.

A gentle 48% lean on SGV Freiberg didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time. The goals call finished the job: over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (57%) landed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mainz 05 II led the recent series with 4 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.67 a game for SGV Freiberg against 1.33 for Mainz 05 II.

SGV Freiberg vs Mainz 05 II Result & Final Score

SGV Freiberg 1 - 2 Mainz 05 II in the Germany - Regional League on 25/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

SGV Freiberg vs Mainz 05 II Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a SGV Freiberg win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split SGV Freiberg 48%, draw 25%, Mainz 05 II 27%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (SGV Freiberg) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (SGV Freiberg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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