SGV Freiberg vs Mainz 05 II Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
SGV Freiberg v Mainz 05 II — Team-Based Signals
SGV Freiberg vs Mainz 05 II Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-1
Mainz 05 II
ALMBÖL
4-0
HT 3-0
Mainz 05 II
ALMBÖL
Mainz 05 II nicked a narrow win over SGV Freiberg 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was SGV Freiberg at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mainz 05 II led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for SGV Freiberg and 1.33 for Mainz 05 II.
What was the final score of SGV Freiberg vs Mainz 05 II?
SGV Freiberg 1-2 Mainz 05 II in the Germany - Regional League on 25/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for SGV Freiberg vs Mainz 05 II?
Before kick-off our model rated a SGV Freiberg win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split SGV Freiberg 42%, draw 27%, Mainz 05 II 31%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (SGV Freiberg), Under 2.5 went the other way.