Qabala 1-1 Araz Nahçıvan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 25 Apr 2026

📅25/04/2026 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
37%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.86
Over 2.5
51%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.7
No
43%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
43%
-7.7pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.9pp
37%
Away Win
30%
+6.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
50%
-0.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
50%
+0.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
55%
+2.6pp
43%
BTTS No
45%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Qabala EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Araz Nahçıvan EU Bookmakers 34%
-17% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -11%
1.41/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.47
+21% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -31%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
378 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Qabala
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Araz Nahçıvan
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
30.11.2025 Qabala Qabala 2-1 HT 1-1 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan AZERS
30.08.2025 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan 2-1 Qabala Qabala AZERS
16.03.2024 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan 1-1 HT 1-0 Qabala Qabala AZERS
09.02.2024 Qabala Qabala 2-0 HT 2-0 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan AZERK
31.01.2024 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan 1-1 HT 1-1 Qabala Qabala AZERK
22.10.2023 Qabala Qabala 1-4 HT 1-2 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan AZERS
POST-MATCH Qabala vs Araz Nahçıvan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Qabala and Araz Nahçıvan shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 27% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Qabala and 1.50 for Araz Nahçıvan.

What was the final score of Qabala vs Araz Nahçıvan?

Qabala 1-1 Araz Nahçıvan in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 25/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Qabala vs Araz Nahçıvan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Araz Nahçıvan win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Qabala 36%, draw 27%, Araz Nahçıvan 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Araz Nahçıvan), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Araz Nahçıvan) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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25 Apr 2026
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