Qabala 2-1 Araz Nahçıvan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 30 Nov 2025

📅30/11/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.8
Draw
34%
3.04
Away
33%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.52
Over 2.5
43%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.06
No
48%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
18%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+0.9pp
34%
Draw
29%
+5.0pp
33%
Away Win
39%
-5.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
44%
+7.5pp
48%
BTTS No
56%
-7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Qabala EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Araz Nahçıvan EU Bookmakers 43%
-3% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -28% / -28%
0.94/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.37
-18% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / -25%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
342 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Qabala
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Araz Nahçıvan
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
30.08.2025 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan 2-1 Qabala Qabala AZERS
16.03.2024 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan 1-1 HT 1-0 Qabala Qabala AZERS
09.02.2024 Qabala Qabala 2-0 HT 2-0 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan AZERK
31.01.2024 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan 1-1 HT 1-1 Qabala Qabala AZERK
22.10.2023 Qabala Qabala 1-4 HT 1-2 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan AZERS
12.08.2023 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan 2-0 HT 1-0 Qabala Qabala AZERS
POST-MATCH Qabala vs Araz Nahçıvan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Qabala edged past Araz Nahçıvan 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 34% / 33% — and on the day Qabala made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Araz Nahçıvan led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Qabala and 1.67 for Araz Nahçıvan.

What was the final score of Qabala vs Araz Nahçıvan?

Qabala 2-1 Araz Nahçıvan in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 30/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Qabala vs Araz Nahçıvan?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Qabala 33%, draw 34%, Araz Nahçıvan 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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AZERS More Azerbaijan - Super League
30 Nov 2025
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