Shamakhi 1-2 Sumqayıt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 30 Nov 2025

📅30/11/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.53
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
32%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.52
Over 2.5
40%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.06
No
59%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
19%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
36%
+4.9pp
27%
Draw
31%
-4.0pp
32%
Away Win
33%
-0.8pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.9pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.8pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shamakhi EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Sumqayıt EU Bookmakers 37%
-9% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -3%
0.92/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.74
-19% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +42%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
282 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shamakhi
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Sumqayıt
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
29.08.2025 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 1-1 HT 0-0 Shamakhi Shamakhi AZERS
12.04.2025 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 1-2 HT 1-0 Shamakhi Shamakhi AZERS
09.02.2025 Shamakhi Shamakhi 1-0 HT 0-0 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
24.11.2024 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 2-1 HT 1-1 Shamakhi Shamakhi AZERS
14.09.2024 Shamakhi Shamakhi 1-0 HT 1-0 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
16.04.2023 Shamakhi Shamakhi 0-0 HT 0-0 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
POST-MATCH Shamakhi vs Sumqayıt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sumqayıt nicked a narrow win over Shamakhi 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Shamakhi at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shamakhi had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Shamakhi and 0.67 for Sumqayıt.

What was the final score of Shamakhi vs Sumqayıt?

Shamakhi 1-2 Sumqayıt in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 30/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shamakhi vs Sumqayıt?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shamakhi win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Shamakhi 41%, draw 27%, Sumqayıt 32%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Shamakhi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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AZERS More Azerbaijan - Super League
30 Nov 2025
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