Jong Sparta 4-1 BVV Barendrecht — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 25 Apr 2026

📅25/04/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.25
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
34%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
Over 2.5
66%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.32
No
42%
3.08
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
40%
+4.0pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.4pp
34%
Away Win
37%
-2.6pp
58%
BTTS Yes
72%
-13.9pp
42%
BTTS No
28%
+13.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jong Sparta EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY BVV Barendrecht EU Bookmakers 40%
+10% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
1.91/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.17
+21% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +27%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
311 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jong Sparta
1W-0D-2L
AWAY BVV Barendrecht
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
22.11.2025 BVV Barendrecht BVV Barendrecht 3-2 HT 2-0 Jong Sparta Jong Sparta HOLTW
22.03.2025 Jong Sparta Jong Sparta 2-0 HT 0-0 BVV Barendrecht BVV Barendrecht HOLTW
19.10.2024 BVV Barendrecht BVV Barendrecht 5-3 HT 4-2 Jong Sparta Jong Sparta HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jong Sparta
4-1
AWAY BVV Barendrecht
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Jong Sparta vs BVV Barendrecht
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jong Sparta cruised past BVV Barendrecht 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Jong Sparta as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Jong Sparta had 53% of the ball to BVV Barendrecht's 47%, shots finished 16-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, BVV Barendrecht led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Jong Sparta and 2.67 for BVV Barendrecht.

What was the final score of Jong Sparta vs BVV Barendrecht?

Jong Sparta 4-1 BVV Barendrecht in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 25/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jong Sparta vs BVV Barendrecht?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jong Sparta win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Jong Sparta 45%, draw 22%, BVV Barendrecht 34%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jong Sparta), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Jong Sparta) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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