Mafra 1-0 Trofense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 25 Apr 2026

📅25/04/2026 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
32%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.71
Over 2.5
44%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-5.2pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.3pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+6.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
55%
+1.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
45%
-1.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.7pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mafra EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Trofense EU Bookmakers 29%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +11%
1.48/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/0.95
+17% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +32%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
338 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mafra
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Trofense
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.52 xG 0.69
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
323 Passes 285
76% Pass Accuracy 74%
13 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
27.02.2026 Trofense Trofense 1-1 HT 1-0 Mafra Mafra POR3
21.01.2023 Mafra Mafra 1-0 HT 0-0 Trofense Trofense POR2
20.02.2022 Trofense Trofense 1-3 HT 0-0 Mafra Mafra POR2
18.09.2021 Mafra Mafra 0-0 HT 0-0 Trofense Trofense POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mafra
1-0
AWAY Trofense
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
FAQ Mafra vs Trofense
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Mafra edged past Trofense 1-0 in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 25 Apr 2026. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 44% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Mafra had 46% of the ball to Trofense's 54%, shots finished 15-6.

Across their last 4 meetings in our records, Mafra have the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Mafra and 0.50 for Trofense.

What was the final score of Mafra vs Trofense?

Mafra 1-0 Trofense in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 25/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mafra vs Trofense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mafra win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Mafra 41%, draw 27%, Trofense 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mafra), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mafra) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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