Varzim 2-2 Vitoria Guimaraes II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 25 Apr 2026

📅25/04/2026 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.25
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.67
Over 2.5
44%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
41%
+1.6pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.7pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+2.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.6pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Varzim EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Vitoria Guimaraes II EU Bookmakers 34%
-2% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +9%
1.30/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/0.79
+5% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +53%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
280 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Varzim
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Vitoria Guimaraes II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 4
28.02.2026 Vitoria Guimaraes II Vitoria Guimaraes II 3-0 HT 2-0 Varzim Varzim POR3
11.01.2026 Vitoria Guimaraes II Vitoria Guimaraes II 1-2 HT 0-1 Varzim Varzim POR3
04.10.2025 Varzim Varzim 1-1 HT 0-1 Vitoria Guimaraes II Vitoria Guimaraes II POR3
19.02.2023 Vitoria Guimaraes II Vitoria Guimaraes II 2-1 HT 0-1 Varzim Varzim POR3
04.11.2022 Varzim Varzim 2-0 HT 1-0 Vitoria Guimaraes II Vitoria Guimaraes II POR3
14.07.2018 Varzim Varzim 0-2 HT 0-0 Vitoria Guimaraes II Vitoria Guimaraes II HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Varzim
2-2
AWAY Vitoria Guimaraes II
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Varzim vs Vitoria Guimaraes II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Varzim and Vitoria Guimaraes II couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Varzim at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Varzim had 52% of the ball to Vitoria Guimaraes II's 48%, shots finished 12-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vitoria Guimaraes II led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Varzim and 1.50 for Vitoria Guimaraes II.

What was the final score of Varzim vs Vitoria Guimaraes II?

Varzim 2-2 Vitoria Guimaraes II in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 25/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Varzim vs Vitoria Guimaraes II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Varzim win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Varzim 42%, draw 25%, Vitoria Guimaraes II 33%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Varzim), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Varzim) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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