Amora FC 1-2 Lusitano Évora 1911 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 25 Apr 2026

📅25/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
36%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.59
Over 2.5
46%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.99
No
45%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
34%
+4.0pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.8pp
36%
Away Win
38%
-2.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
59%
-5.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
41%
+5.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
46%
+9.3pp
45%
BTTS No
54%
-9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Amora FC EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Lusitano Évora 1911 EU Bookmakers 42%
+0% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.23/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.00
+3% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +20%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
309 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Amora FC
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Lusitano Évora 1911
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
4 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
22.02.2026 Lusitano Évora 1911 Lusitano Évora 1911 1-0 HT 1-0 Amora FC Amora FC POR3
10.01.2026 Amora FC Amora FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Lusitano Évora 1911 Lusitano Évora 1911 POR3
04.10.2025 Lusitano Évora 1911 Lusitano Évora 1911 3-1 HT 0-1 Amora FC Amora FC POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Amora FC
1-2
AWAY Lusitano Évora 1911
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Amora FC vs Lusitano Évora 1911
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lusitano Évora 1911 nicked a narrow win over Amora FC 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 26% / 36%) promised a tight game; Lusitano Évora 1911 found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Amora FC had 50% of the ball to Lusitano Évora 1911's 50%, shots finished 9-14.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Lusitano Évora 1911 led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Amora FC and 1.67 for Lusitano Évora 1911.

What was the final score of Amora FC vs Lusitano Évora 1911?

Amora FC 1-2 Lusitano Évora 1911 in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 25/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Amora FC vs Lusitano Évora 1911?

Before kick-off our model rated a Amora FC win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Amora FC 38%, draw 26%, Lusitano Évora 1911 36%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Amora FC), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Amora FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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