Atletico CP 0-1 Dezembro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 25 Apr 2026

📅25/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.89
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
30%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
18%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
49%
-7.2pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.8pp
30%
Away Win
25%
+4.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.0pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico CP EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Dezembro EU Bookmakers 29%
-12% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +6%
1.48/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.26
+13% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
372 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico CP
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Dezembro
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
22.02.2026 Dezembro Dezembro 1-5 HT 0-3 Atletico CP Atletico CP POR3
20.12.2025 Dezembro Dezembro 0-1 HT 0-1 Atletico CP Atletico CP POR3
12.10.2025 Atletico CP Atletico CP 4-0 HT 1-0 Dezembro Dezembro POR3
17.05.2025 Atletico CP Atletico CP 1-2 HT 0-0 Dezembro Dezembro POR3
30.03.2025 Dezembro Dezembro 0-1 HT 0-0 Atletico CP Atletico CP POR3
03.11.2024 Dezembro Dezembro 2-1 HT 1-0 Atletico CP Atletico CP POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico CP
0-1
AWAY Dezembro
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 2
3 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Atletico CP vs Dezembro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dezembro nicked a narrow win over Atletico CP 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Atletico CP at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Atletico CP had 57% of the ball to Dezembro's 43%, shots finished 10-2.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico CP had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Atletico CP and 0.83 for Dezembro.

What was the final score of Atletico CP vs Dezembro?

Atletico CP 0-1 Dezembro in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 25/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico CP vs Dezembro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico CP win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Atletico CP 42%, draw 28%, Dezembro 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Atletico CP) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico CP) ✓ Under 2.5
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