Caldas vs Sporting Covilha Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Caldas v Sporting Covilha — Team-Based Signals
Caldas vs Sporting Covilha Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Caldas 1-1 Sporting Covilha — Actual Match Statistics
Caldas and Sporting Covilha shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Caldas at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.
On the day, Caldas had 47% of the ball to Sporting Covilha's 53%, shots finished 10-3.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Covilha led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Caldas and 1.17 for Sporting Covilha.
What was the final score of Caldas vs Sporting Covilha?
Caldas 1-1 Sporting Covilha in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 25/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Caldas vs Sporting Covilha?
Before kick-off our model rated a Caldas win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Caldas 46%, draw 28%, Sporting Covilha 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Caldas), BTTS No went the other way.