Vitoria Guimaraes vs Rio Ave Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Vitoria Guimaraes v Rio Ave — Team-Based Signals
Vitoria Guimaraes vs Rio Ave Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Rio Ave
POR
0-1
HT 0-0
Vitoria Guimaraes
POR
Vitoria Guimaraes 2-0 Rio Ave — Actual Match Statistics
Vitoria Guimaraes saw off Rio Ave 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Vitoria Guimaraes as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Vitoria Guimaraes had 56% of the ball to Rio Ave's 44%, shots finished 11-5, expected goals 1.17 to 0.44.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vitoria Guimaraes had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Vitoria Guimaraes and 0.67 for Rio Ave.
What was the final score of Vitoria Guimaraes vs Rio Ave?
Vitoria Guimaraes 2-0 Rio Ave in the Portugal - Premier League on 25/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Vitoria Guimaraes vs Rio Ave?
Before kick-off our model rated a Vitoria Guimaraes win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Vitoria Guimaraes 53%, draw 25%, Rio Ave 21%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vitoria Guimaraes), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.