Benfica vs Moreirense Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Benfica v Moreirense — Team-Based Signals
Benfica vs Moreirense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Benfica
POR
1-1
HT 1-1
Benfica
PRLK
Benfica 4-1 Moreirense — Actual Match Statistics
Benfica ran out comfortable winners over Moreirense 4-1 in the Portugal - Premier League on 25 Apr 2026. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
The goals market leaned clearly over 2.5, at 64% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Benfica had 58% of the ball to Moreirense's 42%, shots finished 17-8, expected goals 1.99 to 0.89.
Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Benfica have the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Benfica and 0.67 for Moreirense.
What was the final score of Benfica vs Moreirense?
Benfica 4-1 Moreirense in the Portugal - Premier League on 25/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Benfica vs Moreirense?
Before kick-off our model rated a Benfica win the most likely single outcome at about 83%, with the full match-result split Benfica 83%, draw 11%, Moreirense 6%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Benfica), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.