CD Victoria 0-3 Marathon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 25 Jul 2025

📅25/07/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.17
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
44%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.56
Over 2.5
37%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.99
No
61%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
18%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
28%
+1.7pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.8pp
44%
Away Win
43%
+1.0pp
63%
Under 2.5
60%
+2.6pp
37%
Over 2.5
40%
-2.6pp
39%
BTTS Yes
46%
-7.2pp
61%
BTTS No
54%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Victoria EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Marathon EU Bookmakers 48%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / +2%
1.26/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.01
+28% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -3%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
251 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Victoria
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Marathon
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
11.05.2025 Marathon Marathon 0-0 HT 0-0 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
08.05.2025 CD Victoria CD Victoria 0-0 HT 0-0 Marathon Marathon HON
14.03.2025 CD Victoria CD Victoria 1-4 HT 0-1 Marathon Marathon HON
26.01.2025 Marathon Marathon 0-1 HT 0-0 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
30.09.2024 CD Victoria CD Victoria 3-0 HT 1-0 Marathon Marathon HON
28.07.2024 Marathon Marathon 2-2 HT 0-2 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
POST-MATCH CD Victoria vs Marathon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marathon ran out comfortable winners over CD Victoria 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Marathon as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (61%) landed while under 2.5 goals (63%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CD Victoria had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for CD Victoria and 1.00 for Marathon.

What was the final score of CD Victoria vs Marathon?

CD Victoria 0-3 Marathon in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 25/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Victoria vs Marathon?

Before kick-off our model rated an Marathon win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split CD Victoria 29%, draw 26%, Marathon 44%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Marathon), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Marathon) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →