Hwaseong 3-2 Asan Mugunghwa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 25 Jul 2026

📅25/07/2026 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.25
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.68
Over 2.5
44%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.67
2-3 Goals
43%
1.7
4-5 Goals
19%
3.89
6+ Goals
7%
18.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.67 — our 31% vs market 29.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
41%
+2.0pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.3pp
30%
Away Win
30%
-0.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.3pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hwaseong EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Asan Mugunghwa EU Bookmakers 34%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -18%
1.37/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.52
-2% / +65% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -13%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
290 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
13.7 Crosses 21.4
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hwaseong
0W-3D-1L
AWAY Asan Mugunghwa
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
274 Passes 394
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
12 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 1
28.03.2026 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 1-0 HT 1-0 Hwaseong Hwaseong GKOR2
07.09.2025 Hwaseong Hwaseong 1-1 HT 1-1 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
26.07.2025 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 1-1 HT 0-0 Hwaseong Hwaseong GKOR2
02.03.2025 Hwaseong Hwaseong 1-1 HT 0-1 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hwaseong
3-2
AWAY Asan Mugunghwa
13 Total Shots 25
8 Shots on Target 15
5 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hwaseong vs Asan Mugunghwa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hwaseong edged past Asan Mugunghwa 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Hwaseong as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 13-25.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Asan Mugunghwa led the recent series with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Hwaseong and 1.00 for Asan Mugunghwa.

What was the final score of Hwaseong vs Asan Mugunghwa?

Hwaseong 3-2 Asan Mugunghwa in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 25/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hwaseong vs Asan Mugunghwa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hwaseong win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Hwaseong 43%, draw 27%, Asan Mugunghwa 30%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hwaseong) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hwaseong) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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