Busan I Park 1-4 Suwon Bluewings — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 25 Jul 2026

📅25/07/2026 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.57
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
36%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.91
Over 2.5
46%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.66
No
46%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.18
2-3 Goals
45%
1.73
4-5 Goals
18%
3.32
6+ Goals
10%
12.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.18 — our 27% vs market 24.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
18%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
35%
+2.0pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.0pp
36%
Away Win
37%
-1.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.9pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Busan I Park EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Suwon Bluewings EU Bookmakers 40%
+6% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -8%
1.49/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.34
+11% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -8%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
307 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 383 · 80%
15.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.0 Crosses 17.9
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Busan I Park
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Suwon Bluewings
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
310 Passes 380
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
15 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
25.04.2026 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings 3-2 HT 1-0 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
06.09.2025 Busan I Park Busan I Park 1-0 HT 1-0 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings GKOR2
29.06.2025 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings 1-1 HT 1-0 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
17.05.2025 Busan I Park Busan I Park 1-4 HT 1-3 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings GKOR2
25.09.2024 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings 0-1 HT 0-1 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
02.06.2024 Busan I Park Busan I Park 1-1 HT 0-0 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Busan I Park
1-4
AWAY Suwon Bluewings
2 Total Shots 1
1 Shots on Target 0
1 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Busan I Park vs Suwon Bluewings
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Suwon Bluewings swept aside Busan I Park 4-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 27% / 36%) promised a tight game; Suwon Bluewings found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, shots finished 2-1.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Busan I Park and 1.50 for Suwon Bluewings.

What was the final score of Busan I Park vs Suwon Bluewings?

Busan I Park 1-4 Suwon Bluewings in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 25/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Busan I Park vs Suwon Bluewings?

Before kick-off our model rated a Busan I Park win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Busan I Park 37%, draw 27%, Suwon Bluewings 36%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Busan I Park), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Busan I Park) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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