CA Penarol 2-0 CA River Plate — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 25 Aug 2025

📅25/08/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.34
Draw
18%
4.49
Away
14%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.82
Over 2.5
45%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.33
No
60%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
6%
X/X
5%
2/1
10%
2/2
5%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
70%
-2.6pp
18%
Draw
19%
-0.6pp
14%
Away Win
11%
+3.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
51%
+4.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
49%
-4.1pp
40%
BTTS Yes
39%
+1.6pp
60%
BTTS No
61%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CA Penarol EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY CA River Plate EU Bookmakers 14%
-4% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -5%
1.71/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/1.49
-17% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +26%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
439 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 225 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CA Penarol
5W-1D-0L
AWAY CA River Plate
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
15.06.2025 CA River Plate CA River Plate 1-3 HT 0-2 CA Penarol CA Penarol URU
24.02.2025 CA River Plate CA River Plate 1-1 HT 0-1 CA Penarol CA Penarol URU
04.11.2024 CA River Plate CA River Plate 0-1 HT 0-0 CA Penarol CA Penarol URU
14.07.2024 CA River Plate CA River Plate 1-3 HT 1-1 CA Penarol CA Penarol URU
30.04.2024 CA Penarol CA Penarol 3-0 HT 2-0 CA River Plate CA River Plate URU
22.10.2023 CA River Plate CA River Plate 0-3 HT 0-2 CA Penarol CA Penarol URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CA Penarol
2-0
AWAY CA River Plate
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH CA Penarol vs CA River Plate
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CA Penarol saw off CA River Plate 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had CA Penarol as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, CA Penarol had 59% of the ball to CA River Plate's 41%, shots finished 14-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CA Penarol had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for CA Penarol and 0.50 for CA River Plate.

What was the final score of CA Penarol vs CA River Plate?

CA Penarol 2-0 CA River Plate in the Uruguay - Premier League on 25/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CA Penarol vs CA River Plate?

Before kick-off our model rated a CA Penarol win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split CA Penarol 67%, draw 18%, CA River Plate 14%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CA Penarol), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (CA Penarol) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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25 Aug 2025
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