Estudiantes De Merida vs Deportivo La Guaira Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Estudiantes De Merida v Deportivo La Guaira — Team-Based Signals
Estudiantes De Merida vs Deportivo La Guaira Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 2-0
Deportivo La Guaira
VEN
Estudiantes De Merida 1-2 Deportivo La Guaira — Actual Match Statistics
Deportivo La Guaira squeezed past Estudiantes De Merida 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Deportivo La Guaira as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Estudiantes De Merida had 47% of the ball to Deportivo La Guaira's 53%, shots finished 5-11.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo La Guaira led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Estudiantes De Merida and 1.67 for Deportivo La Guaira.
What was the final score of Estudiantes De Merida vs Deportivo La Guaira?
Estudiantes De Merida 1-2 Deportivo La Guaira in the Venezuela - Premier League on 25/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Estudiantes De Merida vs Deportivo La Guaira?
Before kick-off our model rated an Deportivo La Guaira win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Estudiantes De Merida 25%, draw 26%, Deportivo La Guaira 49%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo La Guaira), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.