Libertad (Ekvador) 1-0 Macara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 25 Aug 2026

📅25/08/2026 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.94
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
41%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
59%
1.6
Over
41%
2.11
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2-3
46%
4-5
18%
6+
3%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
2%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
19%
2/1
2%
2/2
24%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Libertad (Ekvador) The Market 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Macara The Market 45%
Strong Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.28 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.24
1.14 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 0.94
Strong Attack Strength Weak
Strong Defense Strength Great
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
274 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 77%
20 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18
20 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Libertad (Ekvador)
0W-1D-4L
AWAY Macara
0.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
0.69 xG 1.17
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
255 Passes 242
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.04.2026 Macara Macara 3-0 HT 2-0 Libertad (Ekvador) Libertad (Ekvador) EKV1
22.09.2025 Macara Macara 1-1 HT 0-0 Libertad (Ekvador) Libertad (Ekvador) EKV1
25.05.2025 Libertad (Ekvador) Libertad (Ekvador) 0-1 HT 0-0 Macara Macara EKV1
17.08.2024 Libertad (Ekvador) Libertad (Ekvador) 0-1 HT 0-0 Macara Macara EKV1
16.03.2024 Macara Macara 3-0 HT 2-0 Libertad (Ekvador) Libertad (Ekvador) EKV1
REVIEW Libertad (Ekvador) vs Macara
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Libertad (Ekvador) shaded a tight game against Macara 1-0.

A gentle 41% lean on Macara didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time. Nothing to argue with on goals either — under 2.5 goals (59%) came home.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Macara led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.20 goals for Libertad (Ekvador) and 1.80 for Macara.

Libertad (Ekvador) vs Macara Result & Final Score

Libertad (Ekvador) 1 - 0 Macara in the Ecuador - Premier on 25/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Libertad (Ekvador) vs Macara Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Macara win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Libertad (Ekvador) 29%, draw 30%, Macara 41%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Macara) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Macara) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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