Chrobry Glogow 1-2 Polonia Warszawa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Cup, 25 Sep 2024

📅25/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.57
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
36%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.67
Over 2.5
51%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.85
No
48%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
35%
+0.3pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.4pp
36%
Away Win
36%
+0.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
56%
-7.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
44%
+7.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.6pp
48%
BTTS No
50%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chrobry Glogow EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Polonia Warszawa EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +33% / +33%
0.99/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.96/2.00
-23% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +85% / -38%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
216 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chrobry Glogow
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Polonia Warszawa
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.08.2024 Chrobry Glogow Chrobry Glogow 1-2 HT 0-1 Polonia Warszawa Polonia Warszawa POL1
03.03.2024 Polonia Warszawa Polonia Warszawa 1-1 HT 1-1 Chrobry Glogow Chrobry Glogow POL1
19.08.2023 Chrobry Glogow Chrobry Glogow 0-3 HT 0-1 Polonia Warszawa Polonia Warszawa POL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chrobry Glogow
1-2
AWAY Polonia Warszawa
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Chrobry Glogow vs Polonia Warszawa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Polonia Warszawa squeezed past Chrobry Glogow 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 28% / 36% — and on the day Polonia Warszawa made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Chrobry Glogow had 43% of the ball to Polonia Warszawa's 57%, shots finished 8-11.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Polonia Warszawa led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Chrobry Glogow and 2.00 for Polonia Warszawa.

What was the final score of Chrobry Glogow vs Polonia Warszawa?

Chrobry Glogow 1-2 Polonia Warszawa in the Poland - Cup on 25/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chrobry Glogow vs Polonia Warszawa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chrobry Glogow win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Chrobry Glogow 36%, draw 28%, Polonia Warszawa 36%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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