Bellinzona 0-3 Stade Ouchy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 25 Oct 2025

📅25/10/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.75
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
56%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.95
Over 2.5
56%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.75
No
43%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.37
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
24%
3.22
6+ Goals
8%
11.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
20%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
28%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
23%
-0.6pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.7pp
56%
Away Win
53%
+3.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
48%
-3.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
52%
+3.1pp
57%
BTTS Yes
53%
+3.7pp
43%
BTTS No
47%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bellinzona EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Stade Ouchy EU Bookmakers 57%
-4% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
0.98/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/1.66
-12% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -24%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
321 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 82%
18.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.5
16.9 Crosses 17.0
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bellinzona
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Stade Ouchy
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.81 xG 1.43
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
178 Passes 336
68% Pass Accuracy 81%
8 Box Touches 20
10 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
09.08.2025 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy 2-2 HT 1-1 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV2
09.05.2025 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy 1-1 HT 0-1 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV2
15.02.2025 Bellinzona Bellinzona 0-1 HT 0-0 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy İSV2
19.10.2024 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy 1-1 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV2
24.09.2024 Bellinzona Bellinzona 2-1 HT 1-0 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy İSV2
27.05.2023 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy 6-0 HT 3-0 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bellinzona
0-3
AWAY Stade Ouchy
0.51 xG 3.22
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 6
259 Passes 351
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
9 Box Touches 35
14 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Bellinzona vs Stade Ouchy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stade Ouchy swept aside Bellinzona 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Stade Ouchy as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (56%) landed while both teams to score (57%) missed.

On the day, Bellinzona had 44% of the ball to Stade Ouchy's 56%, shots finished 6-20, expected goals 0.51 to 3.22.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stade Ouchy led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Bellinzona and 2.00 for Stade Ouchy.

What was the final score of Bellinzona vs Stade Ouchy?

Bellinzona 0-3 Stade Ouchy in the Switzerland Challenge League on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bellinzona vs Stade Ouchy?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stade Ouchy win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Bellinzona 23%, draw 21%, Stade Ouchy 56%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stade Ouchy), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Stade Ouchy) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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