Monza vs Reggiana Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Monza v Reggiana — Team-Based Signals
Monza vs Reggiana Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-0
Reggiana
İTK
2-0
HT 1-0
Reggiana
İTB
3-0
HT 0-0
Monza
İTB
Monza 3-1 Reggiana — Actual Match Statistics
Monza saw off Reggiana 3-1.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Monza as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Monza had 57% of the ball to Reggiana's 43%, shots finished 18-3, expected goals 2.21 to 0.21.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Reggiana led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Monza and 1.67 for Reggiana.
What was the final score of Monza vs Reggiana?
Monza 3-1 Reggiana in the Italy - Serie B on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Monza vs Reggiana?
Before kick-off our model rated a Monza win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Monza 62%, draw 19%, Reggiana 19%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Monza) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.